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The Change Hawaii (Change(HI)) project is fundamentally addressing the existential threat of climate change in Hawaii by integrating data and climate science to foster statewide resilience, enhance decision science, and support workforce development in critical fields. A cornerstone of this initiative is the \textbf{Hawaii Climate Data Portal (HCDP)}, which operates as a vital science gateway and data hub \cite. The HCDP's primary objective is to build capacity through advanced data science and artificial intelligence (AI), serving as a robust resource for monitoring, visualizing, and communicating environmental change \cite{longman_hawaii_2024}. Its critical role is highlighted by its extensive provision of climate data and its Application Programming Interface (API), which is instrumental in the development and functionality of diverse decision support tools tailored for various stakeholders across the state. This paper details the HCDP's integration with the Tapis API platform, and its successful application in developing actionable climate science outcomes for Hawaii. 

Abstract. The orographic effects that influence rainfall fields in mountainous regions depend on elevation and the exposure of the topography to prevailing winds. Transitions between wet and dry areas can occur within a few kilometers, creating strong horizontal gradients of various rainfall statistics such as the frequency of occurrence, the distribution of intensity and the structure of spatial correlation. Most statistical models of daily rainfall assume spatial stationarity (i.e., the spatial homogeneity of rainfall statistics) and are therefore not well suited for studying the highly non-homogeneous characteristics of orographic rainfall. To overcome this limitation, we design a non-stationary trans-Gaussian geostatistical model for the analysis of daily rainfall fields over complex topography. The modeling framework presented in this paper infers rainfall statistics from sparse rain gauge observations, simulates realistic rainfall fields after calibration and stochastically interpolates rain gauge observations to create rainfall maps. The performance of the model is assessed with data from the Island of Hawai‘i where extreme spatial gradients in rainfall are observed. The results presented in this paper demonstrate that a non-stationary trans-Gaussian model can skillfully reproduce orographic rainfall statistics as well as their variations in space. 

The Cyberinfrastructure Training and Capacity Building in Climate and Environmental Sciences (CI-TRACS) program represents a pioneering initiative aimed at enhancing cyberinfrastructure proficiency within Hawaii’s academic community. This paper outlines the program’s comprehensive strategy, which integrates curriculum development, hands-on workshops, and professional growth opportunities to cultivate a robust foundation in CI practices. The initiative’s core objective is to elevate CI literacy, promote cross-disciplinary cooperation, and endorse the principles of open science. Significant contributions from the CI-TRACS program include a suite of educational materials and resources tailored for integration into higher education syllabi. Collaboration with the Hawaii Data Science Institute has been instrumental in nurturing a burgeoning network of data science professionals. The CI-TRACS program is instrumental in realizing the shared vision of equipping Hawaii’s emerging workforce with the sophisticated CI skills necessary to navigate and excel in the evolving landscape of climate and environmental sciences. 

Abstract The Hawai‘i Climate Data Portal (HCDP) is designed to facilitate streamlined access to a wide variety of climate data and information for the State of Hawai‘i. Prior to the development of the HCDP, gridded climate products and point datasets were fragmented, outdated, not easily accessible, and not available in near–real time. To address these limitations, HCDP researchers developed the cyberinfrastructure necessary to 1) operationalize data acquisition and product production in a near-real-time environment and 2) make data and products easily accessible to a wide range of users. The HCDP hosts several high-resolution (250 m) gridded products including monthly rainfall and daily temperature (maximum, minimum, and mean), station data, and gridded future projections of rainfall and temperature. HCDP users can visualize both gridded and point data, create and download custom maps, and query station and gridded data for export with relative ease. The “virtual station” feature allows users to create a climate time series at any grid point. The primary objective of the HCDP is to promote sharing and access to data and information to streamline research activities, improve awareness, and promote the development of tools and resources that can help to build adaptive capacities. The HCDP products have the potential to serve a wide range of users including researchers, resource managers, city planners, engineers, teachers, students, civil society organizations, and the broader community. 

Abstract The Hawaiian Islands have some of the most spatially diverse rainfall patterns on Earth, affected by prevailing trade winds, midlatitude disturbances, tropical cyclones, and complex island topography. However, it is the only state in the United States that does not have assigned climate divisions (boundaries defining climatically homogeneous areas), which excludes it from many national climate analyses. This study establishes, for the first time, official climate divisions for the state of Hawai‘i using cluster analysis applied to monthly gridded rainfall data from 1990 to 2019. Twelve climate divisions have been identified: two divisions were found each for the islands of Kaua‘i (Leeward Kaua‘i and Windward Kaua‘i), O‘ahu (Waianae and Ko‘olau), and Maui County (Leeward Maui Nui and Windward Maui Nui), and six divisions were identified for Hawai‘i Island (Leeward Kohala, Windward Kohala, Kona, Hawai‘i Mauka, Ka‘u, and Hilo). The climate divisions were validated using a statewide area-weighted division-average rainfall index which successfully captured the annual cycle and interannual rainfall variations in the statewide average rainfall series. Distinct rainfall seasonality features and interannual/decadal variability are found among the different divisions; Leeward Maui Nui, Leeward Kaua‘i, Kona, and Hawai‘i Mauka displayed the most significant rainfall seasonality. The western Hawai‘i Island divisions show the most significant long-term decreasing trends in annual rainfall during the past 100 years (ranging from −2.5% to −5.0% per decade). With these climate divisions now available, Hawai‘i will have access to numerous operational climate analyses that will greatly improve climatic research, monitoring, education, and outreach, as well as forecasting applications. Significance StatementThe Hawaiian Islands have some of the most spatially diverse climate patterns on Earth, but it is the only state in the United States that does not have assigned climate divisions, which excludes it from many national climate analyses. This paper establishes official climate divisions for the state of Hawai‘i, filling an incredibly important gap in the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)’s national coverage, moving toward better data equity and coverage outside the contiguous United States. Distinct rainfall seasonality features and interannual/decadal variability are revealed and compared among the different divisions. With these climate divisions now available, Hawai‘i will have access to numerous operational climate analyses that will greatly improve climatic research, monitoring, education, and outreach, as well as forecasting applications. 

Understanding how environmental adaptations mediate plant and ecosystem responses becomes increasingly important under accelerating global environmental change. Multi-stemmed trees, for example, differ in form and function from single-stemmed trees and may possess physiological advantages that allow for persistence during stressful climatic events such as extended drought. Following the worst drought in Hawaii in a century, we examined patterns of stem abundance and turnover in a Hawaiian lowland dry forest (LDF) and a montane wet forest (MWF) to investigate how multi-stemmed trees might influence site persistence, and how stem abundance and turnover relate to key functional traits. We found stem abundance and multi-stemmed trees to be an important component for climate resilience within the LDF. The LDF had higher relative abundance of multi-stemmed trees, stem abundance, and mean stem abundance compared to a reference MWF. Within the LDF, multi-stemmed trees had higher relative stem abundance (i.e., percent composition of stems to the total number of stems in the LDF) and higher estimated aboveground carbon than single-stemmed trees. Stem abundance varied among species and tree size classes. Stem turnover (i.e., change in stem abundance between five-year censuses) varied among species and tree size classes and species mean stem turnover was correlated with mean species stem abundance per tree. At the plot level, stem abundance per tree is also a predictor of survival, though mortality did not differ between multiple- and single-stemmed trees. Lastly, species with higher mean stem abundance per tree tended to have traits associated with a higher light-saturated photosynthetic rate, suggesting greater productivity in periods with higher water supply. Identifying the traits that allow species and forest communities to persist in dry environments or respond to disturbance is useful for forecasting ecological climate resilience or potential for restoration in tropical dry forests. 

Drought is a prominent feature of Hawaiʻi’s climate. However, it has been over 30 years since the last comprehensive meteorological drought analysis, and recent drying trends have emphasized the need to better understand drought dynamics and multi-sector effects in Hawaiʻi. Here, we provide a comprehensive synthesis of past drought effects in Hawaiʻi that we integrate with geospatial analysis of drought characteristics using a newly developed 100-year (1920–2019) gridded Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) dataset. The synthesis examines past droughts classified into five categories: Meteorological, agricultural, hydrological, ecological, and socioeconomic drought. Results show that drought duration and magnitude have increased significantly, consistent with trends found in other Pacific Islands. We found that most droughts were associated with El Niño events, and the two worst droughts of the past century were multi-year events occurring in 1998–2002 and 2007–2014. The former event was most severe on the islands of O’ahu and Kaua’i while the latter event was most severe on Hawaiʻi Island. Within islands, we found different spatial patterns depending on leeward versus windward contrasts. Droughts have resulted in over $80 million in agricultural relief since 1996 and have increased wildfire risk, especially during El Niño years. In addition to providing the historical context needed to better understand future drought projections and to develop effective policies and management strategies to protect natural, cultural, hydrological, and agricultural resources, this work provides a framework for conducting drought analyses in other tropical island systems, especially those with a complex topography and strong climatic gradients. 

Abstract One mechanism proposed to explain high species diversity in tropical systems is strong negative conspecific density dependence (CDD), which reduces recruitment of juveniles in proximity to conspecific adult plants. Although evidence shows that plant-specific soil pathogens can drive negative CDD, trees also form key mutualisms with mycorrhizal fungi, which may counteract these effects. Across 43 large-scale forest plots worldwide, we tested whether ectomycorrhizal tree species exhibit weaker negative CDD than arbuscular mycorrhizal tree species. We further tested for conmycorrhizal density dependence (CMDD) to test for benefit from shared mutualists. We found that the strength of CDD varies systematically with mycorrhizal type, with ectomycorrhizal tree species exhibiting higher sapling densities with increasing adult densities than arbuscular mycorrhizal tree species. Moreover, we found evidence of positive CMDD for tree species of both mycorrhizal types. Collectively, these findings indicate that mycorrhizal interactions likely play a foundational role in global forest diversity patterns and structure.